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	<title>The ABSURD Circle &#187; Life Break Journal</title>
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		<title>Happy New Year From China</title>
		<link>http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/happy-new-year-from-china/</link>
		<comments>http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/happy-new-year-from-china/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Jan 2012 00:02:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeremy Trylch</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Life Break Journal]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/?p=983</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Wow 2012! This year seems to hold a lot of promise. The beginning of a new era for humanity, which also indicates the end of an era for humanity, according to the Mayans, the year of the dragon for China, a year of prosperity and good fortune, and for me personally a year of accomplishing [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Wow 2012! This year seems to hold a lot of promise. The beginning of a new era for humanity, which also indicates the end of an era for humanity, according to the Mayans, the year of the dragon for China, a year of prosperity and good fortune, and for me personally a year of accomplishing life goals.  We moved into our apartment in Sanya&#8230; Pictures at some point, I will publish my first novel online, and I will launch a full on writing career one way or another&#8230; </p>
<p>I have discovered a love/hate relationship with Chinese new year.  I hate it because there is so much going on, the kid is off from school, the city in which I live becomes clogged with mainlanders, and I often cannot find the time to write.  This year that distressed me because my new year resolution was to write everyday and I blew it for three days! I tried getting up super early to write, but no matter how early I got up, Hunter got up too.  I tried staying up late to write, but no matter how much coffee I drank I ended up face down in the notebook! But now, here comes another new year like a second chase at making the resolution work! </p>
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		<title>Trudering Outing</title>
		<link>http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/trudering-outing/</link>
		<comments>http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/trudering-outing/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Aug 2011 05:03:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeremy Trylch</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Life Break Journal]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/?p=913</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The weather has been very strange in Munich.  At one point it&#8217;s summer and sunny, to warm even for a jacket.  The next minute it&#8217;ll rain and be cool.  So we opted for McDonald&#8217;s for breakfast so the kids to play in the indoor play area.  They didn&#8217;t seem to mind. Then Hunter and I [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1397.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-894" title="CIMG1397" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1397-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;">The weather has been very strange in Munich.  At one point it&#8217;s summer and sunny, to warm even for a jacket.  The next minute it&#8217;ll rain and be cool.  So we opted for McDonald&#8217;s for breakfast so the kids to play in the indoor play area.  They didn&#8217;t seem to mind.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1399.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-895" title="CIMG1399" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1399-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;">Then Hunter and I braved walk to the nearby village of Trudering.  It&#8217;s name comes from the fact that the town was built around a monastery of nuns who lived after the example of Saint Gertrude.  Perhaps they called her Trudy for short?   The village is very quaint.  It reminded me of Frankenmuth in Michigan in style&#8211;but without the forced quaintness for commercial reasons.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1402.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-898" title="CIMG1402" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1402-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1403.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-899" title="CIMG1403" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1403-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1404.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-900" title="CIMG1404" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1404-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1407.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-902" title="CIMG1407" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1407-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;">I was surprised he let me take this picture.  He was very protective of that flower.  He even got mad at me when I didn&#8217;t put it in water after we returned to our host&#8217;s home.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1408.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-903" title="CIMG1408" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1408-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;">This is a typical home for the area we&#8217;re staying in&#8230;. I grabbed this shot on the walk back.  I noted the steep slope of the all the rooftops and the presence of a snow rail just above the gutter.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1412.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-906" title="CIMG1412" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1412-768x1024.jpg" alt="" width="461" height="614" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;">The professor potted the flowers we brought home from Trudering in his mother&#8217;s vase, and I set the gnomes about to guard it.  Unfortunately the gnomes were mounted on stands of chocolate bars and were overwhelmed by greedy children.  Though the gnomes were taken out, the flowers and pot survived the assault.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1413.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-907" title="CIMG1413" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1413-768x1024.jpg" alt="" width="461" height="614" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1422.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-911" title="CIMG1422" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1422-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;">And then came a hail storm!  I&#8217;m glad Hunter and I had made it back well before that.  I was told by our hostess that it actually snowed in Munich!</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1423.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-912" title="CIMG1423" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1423-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;">
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		<title>Food, Glorious Food!</title>
		<link>http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/food-glorious-food/</link>
		<comments>http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/food-glorious-food/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 07 Aug 2011 18:44:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeremy Trylch</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Life Break Journal]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/?p=847</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;ve had two major culture shocks since arriving in Germany.  One, Bavaria looks a lot like the areas in Michigan where the Bavarians settled.  Maybe there&#8217;s a correlation.  Two, THE FOOD!  OMG! After two and half years eating rice and veggies, I&#8217;m finally eating MEAT!  not to mention the liquified bread commonly known as BEER! [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;ve had two major culture shocks since arriving in Germany.  One, Bavaria looks a lot like the areas in Michigan where the Bavarians settled.  Maybe there&#8217;s a correlation.  Two, THE FOOD!  OMG! After two and half years eating rice and veggies, I&#8217;m finally eating MEAT!  not to mention the liquified bread commonly known as BEER!</p>
<p>Yesterday, the weather broke and Hunter and I were privileged enough to cut the blackberries, raspberries, and Boysenberries in the Helle garden.  There are some great pictures of Prof. Helle with Hunter.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1333.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-849" title="CIMG1333" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1333-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1335.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-851" title="CIMG1335" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1335-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1338.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-854" title="CIMG1338" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1338-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1336.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-852" title="CIMG1336" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1336-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG13401.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-858" title="CIMG1340" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG13401-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1341.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-857" title="CIMG1341" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1341-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: left;">And then there was a BBQ with a ton of MEAT!</p>
<div id="attachment_859" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 624px"><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1345.jpg"><img class="size-large wp-image-859" title="CIMG1345" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1345-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">And that&#39;s not half of it!</p></div>
<p style="text-align: left;">Today, the Professor and I were able to sink our teeth into the manuscript.  For me it is an awesome experience to collaborate with such a brilliant sociologist.  And it&#8217;s amazing what happens when we work together.  Okay, the ideas are all his but some of the sentence structures and commas are mine!  Anyway, after an exciting morning of revision we headed back to the Lindengarden for lunch&#8230; and what do you think I ate?  Yep, you guessed it, MEAT!</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1351.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-860" title="CIMG1351" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1351-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Meat and mustard on a bed of Sauerkraut.  I haven&#8217;t eaten sauerkraut since I left Michigan. And I&#8217;ve never eaten sauerkraut since good.  We had a blueberry pancake for desert, but I didn&#8217;t recognize it as a pan cake other than the fact that it was actually served in a pan.  I&#8217;ll have to plan a trip to Frankenmuth to get &#8220;authentic&#8221; German pancakes!</p>
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		<title>Jet Lagged</title>
		<link>http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/jet-lagged/</link>
		<comments>http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/jet-lagged/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Aug 2011 07:42:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeremy Trylch</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Life Break Journal]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/?p=830</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The first couple of days Hunter and I spent in Germany were marked with very early bedtimes and very early mornings.  Our bodies thought we were still in China.  But we still made it out to the LindenGarten for Lunch. But day three we were determined to beat the jet lag&#8230; we spent the entire [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The first couple of days Hunter and I spent in Germany were marked with very early bedtimes and very early mornings.  Our bodies thought we were still in China.  But we still made it out to the LindenGarten for Lunch.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1253.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-834" title="CIMG1253" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1253-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a></p>
<div id="attachment_835" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 624px"><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1262.jpg"><img class="size-large wp-image-835 " title="CIMG1262" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1262-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Schnitzel and Fries</p></div>
<p>But day three we were determined to beat the jet lag&#8230; we spent the entire day out with our friends.  Rain dampened our choices so we did what any tourist would do&#8230; we went to the mall where we discovered a Lego store before sitting down to a sweet brunch.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1264.jpg"></a><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1263.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-831" title="CIMG1263" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1263-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1265.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-833" title="CIMG1265" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1265-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Then the weather mostly cleared and we headed to a petting zoo&#8230;</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1268.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-836" title="CIMG1268" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1268-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1277.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-837" title="CIMG1277" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1277-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1305.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-839" title="CIMG1305" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1305-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Then we returned to our host&#8217;s home for Dinner, Play, Music, and Television.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1317.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-840" title="CIMG1317" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1317-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1322.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-842" title="CIMG1322" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1322-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1325.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-843" title="CIMG1325" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1325-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;">
<div id="attachment_844" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 624px"><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1328.jpg"><img class="size-large wp-image-844 " title="CIMG1328" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/CIMG1328-1024x768.jpg" alt="" width="614" height="461" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Kind of like teenagers...</p></div>
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		<title>First Day of Class</title>
		<link>http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/first-day-of-class/</link>
		<comments>http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/first-day-of-class/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 18 Sep 2010 02:18:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeremy Trylch</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Life Break Journal]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/?p=587</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I was lucky to have a photographer and a news crew come with me to my first day of classes. I was already nervous.  And though I love cameras, I&#8217;m not too hip to being on the glass side of them.  Anyway, the students are lovely.  I hope I can meet or exceed their expectations [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I was lucky to have a photographer and a news crew come with me to my first day of classes.</p>
<p><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/2010091617003937.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-588" title="2010091617003937" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/2010091617003937.jpg" alt="" width="600" height="400" /></a></p>
<p>I was already nervous.  And though I love cameras, I&#8217;m not too hip to being on the glass side of them.  Anyway, the students are lovely.  I hope I can meet or exceed their expectations for the semester.</p>
<p>Some of the pictures have been posted to the <a title="JT Sanya College News" href="http://www.syxyhn.com/Article/school/20100916164350_4418.html">college&#8217;s website</a>.</p>
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		<title>9/11 and the 9-Year War</title>
		<link>http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/911-and-the-9-year-war/</link>
		<comments>http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/911-and-the-9-year-war/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Sep 2010 22:49:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeremy Trylch</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Life Break Journal]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/?p=585</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[By George Friedman It has now been nine years since al Qaeda attacked the United States. It has been nine years in which the primary focus of the United States has been on the Islamic world. In addition to a massive investment in homeland security, the United States has engaged in two multi-year, multi-divisional wars [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>By George Friedman</strong></p>
<p>It has now been nine years since al Qaeda attacked the United States. It has been nine years in which the primary focus of the United States has been on the Islamic world. In addition to a massive investment in homeland security, the United States has engaged in two multi-year, multi-divisional wars in <a href="http://www.stratfor.com/analysis/20100830_iraqs_security_forces_after_us_withdrawal?fn=2217081072">Iraq</a> and <a href="http://www.stratfor.com/weekly/20100628_30_year_war_afghanistan?fn=7917081096">Afghanistan</a>, inserted forces in other countries in smaller operations and conducted a global covert campaign against al Qaeda and other radical jihadist groups.</p>
<p>In order to understand the last nine years you must understand the first 24 hours of the war — and recall your own feelings in those 24 hours. First, the attack was a shock, its audaciousness frightening. Second, we did not know what was coming next. The attack had destroyed the right to complacent assumptions. Were there other cells standing by in the United States? Did they have capabilities even more substantial than what they showed on Sept. 11? Could they be detected and stopped? Any American not frightened on Sept. 12 was not in touch with reality. Many who are now claiming that the United States overreacted are forgetting their own sense of panic. We are all calm and collected nine years after.</p>
<p>At the root of all of this was a profound lack of understanding of al Qaeda, particularly its capabilities and intentions. Since we did not know what was possible, our only prudent course was to prepare for the worst. That is what the Bush administration did. Nothing symbolized this more than the fear that al Qaeda had acquired nuclear weapons and that they would use them against the United States. The evidence was minimal, but the consequences would be overwhelming. Bush crafted a strategy based on the worst-case scenario.</p>
<p>Bush was the victim of a decade of failure in the intelligence community to <a href="http://www.stratfor.com/weekly/al_qaeda_2008_struggle_relevance?fn=1217081070">understand what al Qaeda was and wasn’t</a>. I am not merely talking about the failure to predict the 9/11 attack. Regardless of assertions afterwards, the intelligence community provided only vague warnings that lacked the kind of specificity that makes for actionable intelligence. To a certain degree, this is understandable. Al Qaeda learned from Soviet, Saudi, Pakistani and American intelligence during the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan and knew how to launch attacks without tipping off the target. The greatest failure of American intelligence was not the lack of a clear warning about 9/11 but the lack, on Sept. 12, of a clear picture of al Qaeda’s global structure, capabilities, weaknesses and intentions. Without such information, implementing U.S. policy was like piloting an airplane with faulty instruments in a snowstorm at night.</p>
<p>The president had to do three things: First, he had to assure the public that he knew what he was doing. Second, he had to do something that appeared decisive. Third, he had to gear up an intelligence and security apparatus to tell him what the threats actually were and what he ought to do. American policy became ready, fire, aim.</p>
<p>In looking back at the past nine years, two conclusions can be drawn: There were no more large-scale attacks on the United States by militant Islamists, and the United States was left with the legacy of responses that took place in the first two years after 9/11. This legacy is no longer useful, if it ever was, to the primary mission of defeating al Qaeda, and it represents an effort that is retrospectively out of proportion to the threat.</p>
<p>If I had been told on Sept.12, 2001, that the attack the day before would be the last major attack for at least nine years, I would not have believed it. In looking at the complexity of the security and execution of the 9/11 attack, I would have assumed that an organization capable of acting once in such a way could act again even more effectively. My assumption was wrong. Al Qaeda did not have the resources to mount other operations, and the U.S. response, in many ways clumsy and misguided and in other ways clever and targeted, disrupted any preparations in which al Qaeda might have been engaged to conduct follow-on attacks.</p>
<p>Knowing that about al Qaeda in 2001 was impossible. Knowing which operations were helpful in the effort to block them was impossible, in the context of what Americans knew in the first years after the war began. Therefore, Washington wound up in the contradictory situation in which American military and covert operations surged while new attacks failed to materialize. This created a massive political problem. Rather than appearing to be the cause for the lack of attacks, U.S. military operations were perceived by many as being unnecessary or actually increasing the threat of attack. Even in hindsight, aligning U.S. actions with the apparent outcome is difficult and controversial. But still we know two things: It has been nine years since Sept. 11, 2001, and the war goes on.</p>
<p>What happened was that an act of terrorism was allowed to redefine <a href="http://www.stratfor.com/geopolitical_diary/20100824_reflections_iraq_and_american_grand_strategy?fn=1917081068">U.S. grand strategy</a>. The United States operates with a grand strategy derived from the British strategy in Europe — maintaining the balance of power. For the United Kingdom, maintaining the balance of power in Europe protected any one power from emerging that could unite Europe and build a fleet to invade the United Kingdom or block its access to its empire. British strategy was to help create coalitions to block emerging hegemons such as Spain, France or Germany. Using overt and covert means, the United Kingdom aimed to ensure that no hegemonic power could emerge.</p>
<p>The Americans inherited that grand strategy from the British but elevated it to a global rather than regional level. Having blocked the Soviet Union from hegemony over Europe and Asia, the United States proceeded with a strategy whose goal, like that of the United Kingdom, was to nip potential regional hegemons in the bud. The U.S. war with Iraq in 1990-91 and the war with Serbia/Yugoslavia in 1999 were examples of this strategy. It involved coalition warfare, shifting America’s weight from side to side and using minimal force to disrupt the plans of regional aspirants to gain power. This U.S. strategy also was cloaked in the ideology of global liberalism and human rights.</p>
<p>The key to this strategy was its global nature. The emergence of a hegemonic contender that could challenge the United States globally, as the Soviet Union had done, was the worst-case scenario. Therefore, the containment of emerging powers wherever they might emerge was the centerpiece of American <a href="http://www.stratfor.com/weekly/20100322_netanyahuobama_meeting_context?fn=7017081067">balance-of-power strategy</a>.</p>
<p>The most significant effect of 9/11 was that it knocked the United States off its strategy. Rather than adapting its standing global strategy to better address the counterterrorism issue, the United States became obsessed with a single region, the area between the Mediterranean and the Hindu Kush. Within that region, the United States operated with a balance-of-power strategy. It played off all of the nations in the region against each other. It did the same with ethnic and religious groups throughout the region and particularly within Iraq and Afghanistan, the main theaters of the war. In both cases, the United States sought to take advantage of internal divisions, shifting its support in various directions to create a balance of power. That, in the end, was what the surge strategy was all about.</p>
<p>The American obsession with this region in the wake of 9/11 is understandable. Nine years later, with no clear end in sight, the question is whether this continued focus is strategically rational for the United States. Given the uncertainties of the first few years, obsession and uncertainty are understandable, but as a long-term U.S. strategy — the long war that the U.S. Department of Defense is preparing for — it leaves the rest of the world uncovered.</p>
<p>Consider that the Russians have used the American absorption in this region as a window of opportunity to work to reconstruct their geopolitical position. When Russia went to <a href="http://www.stratfor.com/weekly/russo_georgian_war_and_balance_power?fn=8917081015">war with Georgia</a> in 2008, an American ally, the United States did not have the forces with which to make a prudent intervention. Similarly, the Chinese have had a degree of freedom of action they could not have expected to enjoy prior to 9/11. The single most important result of 9/11 was that it shifted the United States from a global stance to a regional one, allowing other powers to take advantage of this focus to create significant potential challenges to the United States.</p>
<p>One can make the case, as I have, that whatever the origin of the Iraq war, <a href="http://www.stratfor.com/weekly/20100816_us_withdrawal_and_limited_options_iraq?fn=4217081030">remaining in Iraq to contain Iran is necessary</a>. It is difficult to make a similar case for Afghanistan. Its strategic interest to the United States is minimal. The only justification for the war is that al Qaeda launched its attacks on the United States from Afghanistan. But that justification is no longer valid. Al Qaeda can launch attacks from Yemen or other countries. The fact that Afghanistan was the base from which the attacks were launched does not mean that al Qaeda depends on Afghanistan to launch attacks. And given that the apex leadership of al Qaeda has not launched attacks in a while, the question is whether al Qaeda is capable of launching such attacks any longer. In any case, managing al Qaeda today does not require nation building in Afghanistan.</p>
<p>But let me state a more radical thesis: The threat of terrorism cannot become the singular focus of the United States. Let me push it further: The United States cannot subordinate its grand strategy to simply fighting terrorism even if there will be occasional terrorist attacks on the United States. Three thousand people died in the 9/11 attack. That is a tragedy, but in a nation of over 300 million, 3,000 deaths cannot be permitted to define the totality of national strategy. Certainly, resources must be devoted to combating the threat and, to the extent possible, disrupting it. But it must also be recognized that terrorism cannot always be blocked, that terrorist attacks will occur and that the world’s only global power cannot be captive to this single threat.</p>
<p>The initial response was understandable and necessary. The United States must continue its intelligence gathering and covert operations against militant Islamists throughout the world. The intelligence failures of the 1990s must not be repeated. But waging a multi-divisional war in Afghanistan makes no strategic sense. The balance-of-power strategy must be used. <a href="http://www.stratfor.com/analysis/20100316_afghanistan_campaign_part_3_pakistani_strategy?fn=2017081029">Pakistan will intervene</a> and discover the Russians and Iranians. The <a href="http://www.stratfor.com/weekly/20090119_obama_enters_great_game?fn=8117081095">great game</a> will continue. As for Iran, regional counters must be supported at limited cost to the United States. The United States should not be patrolling the far reaches of the region. It should be supporting a balance of power among the native powers of the region.</p>
<p>The United States is a global power and, as such, it must have a global view. It has interests and challenges beyond this region and certainly beyond Afghanistan. The issue there is not whether the United States can or can’t win, however that is defined. The issue is whether it is worth the effort considering what is going on in the rest of the world. Gen. David Petraeus cast the war in terms of whether the United States can win it. That’s reasonable; he’s the commander. But American strategy has to ask another question: What does the United States lose elsewhere while it focuses on the future of Kandahar?</p>
<p>The 9/11 attack shocked the United States and made counterterrorism the centerpiece of American foreign policy. That is too narrow a basis on which to base U.S. foreign policy. It is certainly an important strand of that policy, and it must be addressed, but it should be addressed through the regional balance of power. It is the good fortune of the United States that the Islamic world is torn by internal rivalries.</p>
<p>This is not dismissing the threat of terror. It is recognizing that the United States has done well in suppressing it over the past nine years but at a cost in other regions, a cost that can’t be sustained indefinitely and a cost that could well result in challenges more threatening than a rising Islamist militancy. The United States must now settle into a long-term strategy of managing terrorism as best as it can while not neglecting the rest of its interests.</p>
<p>After nine years, the issue is not what to do in Afghanistan but how the global power can return to managing all of its global interests, along with the war on al Qaeda.</p>
<p>&#8220;<a href="http://www.stratfor.com/weekly/20100907_911_and_9_year_war">9/11 and the 9-Year War</a>&#8221; is republished with permission of STRATFOR.&#8221;</p>
<p>Read more: <a href="http://www.stratfor.com/weekly/20100907_911_and_9_year_war?utm_source=GWeekly&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=100908&amp;utm_content=readmore&amp;elq=5c5563c22883437999433b57e959b038#ixzz0yyt6PSsF">9/11 and the 9-Year War | STRATFOR</a></p>
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		<title>Post from the Rose</title>
		<link>http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/post-from-the-rose/</link>
		<comments>http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/post-from-the-rose/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Aug 2010 08:58:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeremy Trylch</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Life Break Journal]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/?p=583</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This is a fairly funny clip from Jaws.   The movie itself was more about the politics surrounding the shark then it was about the shark itself and it seems nothing in our time has changed our politicians still think we are morons and we them. watch?v=hb3gYaKT6r8&#38;feature=related]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div>This is a fairly funny clip from Jaws.   The movie itself was more about the politics surrounding the shark then it was about the shark itself and it seems nothing in our time has changed our politicians still think we are morons and we them.</div>
<div></div>
<div><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hb3gYaKT6r8&amp;feature=related">watch?v=hb3gYaKT6r8&amp;feature=related</a></div>
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		<title>Chief Seattle&#8217;s Letter</title>
		<link>http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/chief-seattles-letter/</link>
		<comments>http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/chief-seattles-letter/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 18 Jun 2010 01:12:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeremy Trylch</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Life Break Journal]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/?p=573</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#8220;The President in Washington sends word that he wishes to buy our land. But how can you buy or sell the sky? the land? The idea is strange to us. If we do not own the freshness of the air and the sparkle of the water, how can you buy them? Every part of the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/thechief.gif"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-574" title="thechief" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/thechief.gif" alt="" width="159" height="218" /></a></p>
<p>&#8220;The President in Washington sends word that he wishes to buy our land. But how can you buy or sell the sky? the land? The idea is strange to us. If we do not own the freshness of the air and the sparkle of the water, how can you buy them?</p>
<p><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-size: small;">Every part of the earth is sacred to my people. Every shining pine needle, every sandy shore, every mist in the dark woods, every meadow, every humming insect. All are holy in the memory and experience of my people.</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: small;">We know the sap which courses through the trees as we know the blood that courses through our veins. We are part of the earth and it is part of us. The perfumed flowers are our sisters. The bear, the deer, the great eagle, these are our brothers. The rocky crests, the dew in the meadow, the body heat of the pony, and man all belong to the same family.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: small;">The shining water that moves in the streams and rivers is not just water, but the blood of our ancestors. If we sell you our land, you must remember that it is sacred. Each glossy reflection in the clear waters of the lakes tells of events and memories in the life of my people. The water&#8217;s murmur is the voice of my father&#8217;s father.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: small;">The rivers are our brothers. They quench our thirst. They carry our canoes and feed our children. So you must give the rivers the kindness that you would give any brother.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: small;">If we sell you our land, remember that the air is precious to us, that the air shares its spirit with all the life that it supports. The wind that gave our grandfather his first breath also received his last sigh. The wind also gives our children the spirit of life. So if we sell our land, you must keep it apart and sacred, as a place where man can go to taste the wind that is sweetened by the meadow flowers.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: small;">Will you teach your children what we have taught our children? That the earth is our mother? What befalls the earth befalls all the sons of the earth.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: small;">This we know: the earth does not belong to man, man belongs to the earth. All things are connected like the blood that unites us all. Man did not weave the web of life, he is merely a strand in it. Whatever he does to the web, he does to himself.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: small;">One thing we know: our God is also your God. The earth is precious to him and to harm the earth is to heap contempt on its creator.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: small;">Your destiny is a mystery to us. What will happen when the buffalo are all slaughtered? The wild horses tamed? What will happen when the secret corners of the forest are heavy with the scent of many men and the view of the ripe hills is blotted with talking wires? Where will the thicket be? Gone! Where will the eagle be? Gone! And what is to say goodbye to the swift pony and then hunt? The end of living and the beginning of survival.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: small;">When the last red man has vanished with this wilderness, and his memory is only the shadow of a cloud moving across the prairie, will these shores and forests still be here? Will there be any of the spirit of my people left?</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: small;">We love this earth as a newborn loves its mother&#8217;s heartbeat. So, if we sell you our land, love it as we have loved it. Care for it, as we have cared for it. Hold in your mind the memory of the land as it is when you receive it. Preserve the land for all children, and love it, as God loves us.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: small;">As we are part of the land, you too are part of the land. This earth is precious to us. It is also precious to you.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: small;">One thing we know &#8211; there is only one God. No man, be he Red man or White man, can be apart. We ARE all brothers after all.&#8221;</span></p>
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		<title>‹^› ‹(•¿•)› ‹^›</title>
		<link>http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/%e2%80%b9%e2%80%ba-%e2%80%b9%e2%80%a2%c2%bf%e2%80%a2%e2%80%ba-%e2%80%b9%e2%80%ba/</link>
		<comments>http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/%e2%80%b9%e2%80%ba-%e2%80%b9%e2%80%a2%c2%bf%e2%80%a2%e2%80%ba-%e2%80%b9%e2%80%ba/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 Jun 2010 02:31:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeremy Trylch</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Life Break Journal]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/?p=570</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Been busy getting my act together at the University.  I&#8217;m looking forward to summer recess starting shortly.  I know, I know.  I&#8217;ve been working for a few weeks but I&#8217;m ready for summer break to start. Look, I just want to finish the novella I&#8217;m working on before my time gets eaten up with course [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Been busy getting my act together at the University.  I&#8217;m looking forward to summer recess starting shortly.  I know, I know.  I&#8217;ve been working for a few weeks but I&#8217;m ready for summer break to start.</p>
<p>Look, I just want to finish the novella I&#8217;m working on before my time gets eaten up with course work and university politics.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m also not in work mode.  So  ‹^› ‹(•¿•)› ‹^›</p>
<p>Actually I just wanted to share that.  It kind of trumps all the little emoticons wouldn&#8217;t you say?</p>
<p>Feel free to copy/paste and use liberally.</p>
<p>‹^› ‹(•¿•)› ‹^›</p>
<p>If anybody can get it into a cell phone text format let me know how.</p>
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		<title>The Holy Diver Dives Into Forever</title>
		<link>http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/the-holy-diver-dives-into-forever/</link>
		<comments>http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/the-holy-diver-dives-into-forever/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 17 May 2010 00:30:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeremy Trylch</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Life Break Journal]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/?p=563</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Dragon folds his wings today.  Ronnie James Dio has died as a result of stomach cancer.  He was one of the greatest voices in metal and a terrific lyricist.  A major influence on my early writing.  Those impressions still echo in everything I write. Rest well Dio.  May you forever remain a Rainbow in the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Dragon folds his wings today.  Ronnie James Dio has died as a result of stomach cancer.  He was one of the greatest voices in metal and a terrific lyricist.  A major influence on my early writing.  Those impressions still echo in everything I write.</p>
<p><a href="http://new.music.yahoo.com/ronnie-james-dio/news/--62001717"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-564" title="Dio" src="http://jeremytrylch.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/Dio.jpg" alt="" width="126" height="168" /></a></p>
<p>Rest well Dio.  May you forever remain a Rainbow in the Dark.</p>
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